tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → Austin via Philadelphia: arrives on time 70%

  1. 09:00 MIA → 11:55 PHL
    AA 551 · American · 2h 55m · 86% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 01m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:56 PHL → 15:46 AUS
    AA 1441 · American · 3h 50m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 46m, scheduled departure to arrival (Austin is 1 h behind Miami). Times are local. Both flew on 25 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection87%The first flight arrived more than 16 minutes late on 13% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 01m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (87%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip7h 46mMIA 09:00 to AUS 15:46, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.