tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → San Diego via Philadelphia: arrives on time 78%

  1. 09:00 MIA → 11:55 PHL
    AA 551 · American · 2h 55m · 86% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 3h 45m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:40 PHL → 18:22 SAN
    AA 1489 · American · 5h 42m · 80% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 12h 22m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Diego is 3 h behind Miami). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 180 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 45m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip12h 22mMIA 09:00 to SAN 18:22, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.