tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → Norfolk via Philadelphia: arrives on time 75%

  1. 09:00 MIA → 11:55 PHL
    AA 551 · American · 2h 55m · 86% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 3h 37m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:32 PHL → 16:52 ORF
    AA 4749 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 20m · 79% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 7h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 172 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 37m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip7h 52mMIA 09:00 to ORF 16:52, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.