tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Tulsa via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 79%

  1. 09:30 PHX → 14:08 DFW
    AA 554 · American · 2h 38m · 87% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 43m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:51 DFW → 18:03 TUL
    AA 4133 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 12m · 79% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 33m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tulsa is 2 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 22 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 118 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 43m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip6h 33mPHX 09:30 to TUL 18:03, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.