tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Pittsburgh → New York via Chicago: arrives on time 30%

  1. 15:59 PIT → 16:50 ORD
    AA 555 · American · 1h 51m · 63% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 30m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:20 ORD → 21:36 LGA
    AA 1724 · American · 2h 21m · 49% on time, 12.5% cancelled

Total trip 5h 42m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection71%The first flight arrived more than 45 minutes late on 29% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 30m layover.
Arrives on time30%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (71%) × second flight not cancelled (12.5% are) and within 15 minutes (49%).
Total trip5h 42mPIT 15:59 to LGA 21:36, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.