tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Charlotte via San Diego: arrives on time 43%

  1. 20:20 PHX → 21:34 SAN
    AA 559 · American · 1h 14m · 62% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 54m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:28 SAN → 06:15 CLT +1 day
    AA 2468 · American · 4h 47m · 82% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (Charlotte is 3 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection52%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 48% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 54m layover.
Arrives on time43%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (52%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip6h 55mPHX 20:20 to CLT 06:15, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.