tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Dallas-Fort Worth via Orlando: arrives on time 78%

  1. 21:51 PHX → 05:00 MCO
    AA 563 · American · 4h 09m · 73% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 30m layover in Orlando (MCO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 06:30 MCO → 08:29 DFW +1 day
    AA 2975 · American · 2h 59m · 87% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 8h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 2 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 45 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 30m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip8h 38mPHX 21:51 to DFW 08:29, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.