tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Baltimore via Orlando: arrives on time 90%

  1. 21:51 PHX → 05:00 MCO
    AA 563 · American · 4h 09m · 73% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 40m layover in Orlando (MCO) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 08:40 MCO → 10:55 BWI +1 day
    WN 2611 · Southwest · 2h 15m · 94% on time, 2.0% cancelled

Total trip 10h 04m, scheduled departure to arrival (Baltimore is 3 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 46 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 130 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 40m layover.
Arrives on time90%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (2.0% are) and within 15 minutes (94%).
Total trip10h 04mPHX 21:51 to BWI 10:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.