tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Nashville via Orlando: arrives on time 87%

  1. 21:51 PHX → 05:00 MCO
    AA 563 · American · 4h 09m · 73% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 35m layover in Orlando (MCO) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 07:35 MCO → 08:35 BNA +1 day
    WN 550 · Southwest · 2h 00m · 94% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 2 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 65 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 35m layover.
Arrives on time87%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (94%).
Total trip8h 44mPHX 21:51 to BNA 08:35, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.