tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → Indianapolis via Chicago: arrives on time 85%

  1. 06:40 MIA → 09:08 ORD
    AA 581 · American · 3h 28m · 87% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 3h 41m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:49 ORD → 15:03 IND
    AA 3596 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 14m · 89% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 8h 23m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 176 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 41m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip8h 23mMIA 06:40 to IND 15:03, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.