tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → Memphis via Chicago: arrives on time 78%

  1. 06:40 MIA → 09:08 ORD
    AA 581 · American · 3h 28m · 87% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 2h 48m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:56 ORD → 13:47 MEM
    AA 3675 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 51m · 84% on time, 3.4% cancelled

Total trip 8h 07m, scheduled departure to arrival (Memphis is 1 h behind Miami). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 123 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 48m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (3.4% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip8h 07mMIA 06:40 to MEM 13:47, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.