tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → Fayetteville/Springdale/ via Chicago: arrives on time 75%

  1. 06:40 MIA → 09:08 ORD
    AA 581 · American · 3h 28m · 87% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 2h 30m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:38 ORD → 13:35 XNA
    AA 4028 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 59m · 78% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 7h 57m, scheduled departure to arrival (Fayetteville/Springdale/ is 1 h behind Miami). Times are local. Both flew on 0 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 105 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 30m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip7h 57mMIA 06:40 to XNA 13:35, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.