tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Miami via Orlando: arrives on time 80%

  1. 06:30 DCA → 08:55 MCO
    AA 592 · American · 2h 25m · 90% on time, 1.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Orlando (MCO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:00 MCO → 11:15 MIA
    AA 2240 · American · 1h 15m · 88% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 4h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (1.5% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip4h 45mDCA 06:30 to MIA 11:15, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.