tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Richmond → New York via Miami: arrives on time 76%

  1. 06:30 RIC → 09:00 MIA
    AA 604 · American · 2h 28m · 90% on time, 1.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 23m layover in Miami (MIA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 11:23 MIA → 14:30 JFK
    DL 1520 · Delta · 3h 07m · 85% on time, 5.5% cancelled

Total trip 8h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 53 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 23m layover.
Arrives on time76%First flight not cancelled (1.0% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (5.5% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip8h 00mRIC 06:30 to JFK 14:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.