tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Kansas City via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 40%

  1. 17:25 JFK → 20:30 DFW
    AA 606 · American · 4h 05m · 60% on time, 8.3% cancelled
  2. 2h 14m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:44 DFW → 00:23 MCI +1 day
    AA 1036 · American · 1h 39m · 53% on time, 2.6% cancelled

Total trip 7h 58m, scheduled departure to arrival (Kansas City is 1 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 46 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection85%The first flight arrived more than 89 minutes late on 15% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 14m layover.
Arrives on time40%First flight not cancelled (8.3% are) × connection made (85%) × second flight not cancelled (2.6% are) and within 15 minutes (53%).
Total trip7h 58mJFK 17:25 to MCI 00:23, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.