tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas-Fort Worth → Richmond via New York: arrives on time 48%

  1. 14:48 DFW → 19:22 LGA
    AA 610 · American · 3h 34m · 54% on time, 6.7% cancelled
  2. 2h 07m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:29 LGA → 22:58 RIC
    AA 4345 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 29m · 67% on time, 9.7% cancelled

Total trip 7h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (Richmond is 1 h ahead of Dallas-Fort Worth). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection85%The first flight arrived more than 82 minutes late on 15% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 07m layover.
Arrives on time48%First flight not cancelled (6.7% are) × connection made (85%) × second flight not cancelled (9.7% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip7h 10mDFW 14:48 to RIC 22:58, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.