tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas-Fort Worth → Columbia via New York: arrives on time 29%

  1. 14:48 DFW → 19:22 LGA
    AA 610 · American · 3h 34m · 54% on time, 6.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 07m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:29 LGA → 22:41 CAE
    AA 4667 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 12m · 64% on time, 15.3% cancelled

Total trip 6h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival (Columbia is 1 h ahead of Dallas-Fort Worth). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection58%The first flight arrived more than 22 minutes late on 42% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 07m layover.
Arrives on time29%First flight not cancelled (6.7% are) × connection made (58%) × second flight not cancelled (15.3% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip6h 53mDFW 14:48 to CAE 22:41, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.