tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas-Fort Worth → Memphis via New York: arrives on time 28%

  1. 14:48 DFW → 19:22 LGA
    AA 610 · American · 3h 34m · 54% on time, 6.7% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:17 LGA → 22:11 MEM
    AA 4696 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 54m · 64% on time, 6.3% cancelled

Total trip 7h 23m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection50%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 50% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time28%First flight not cancelled (6.7% are) × connection made (50%) × second flight not cancelled (6.3% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip7h 23mDFW 14:48 to MEM 22:11, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.