tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → Jackson via Chicago: arrives on time 49%

  1. 07:25 ATL → 08:45 ORD
    AA 616 · American · 2h 20m · 75% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:36 ORD → 12:00 JAC
    AA 3331 · American · 3h 24m · 77% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (Jackson is 2 h behind Atlanta). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection67%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 33% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time49%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (67%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip6h 35mATL 07:25 to JAC 12:00, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.