tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → Madison via Chicago: arrives on time 81%

  1. 07:25 ATL → 08:45 ORD
    AA 616 · American · 2h 20m · 75% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 2h 07m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:52 ORD → 12:02 MSN
    AA 3437 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 10m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 37m, scheduled departure to arrival (Madison is 1 h behind Atlanta). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 82 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 07m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip5h 37mATL 07:25 to MSN 12:02, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.