tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → Pensacola via Chicago: arrives on time 75%

  1. 07:25 ATL → 08:45 ORD
    AA 616 · American · 2h 20m · 75% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 3h 14m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:59 ORD → 14:26 PNS
    AA 4023 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 27m · 82% on time, 2.1% cancelled

Total trip 8h 01m, scheduled departure to arrival (Pensacola is 1 h behind Atlanta). Times are local. Both flew on 33 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 149 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 14m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (2.1% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip8h 01mATL 07:25 to PNS 14:26, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.