tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → Aspen via Chicago: arrives on time 64%

  1. 07:25 ATL → 08:45 ORD
    AA 616 · American · 2h 20m · 75% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 2h 25m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:10 ORD → 13:16 ASE
    AA 6427 · American, flown by SkyWest · 3h 06m · 69% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 51m, scheduled departure to arrival (Aspen is 2 h behind Atlanta). Times are local. Both flew on 44 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 100 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 25m layover.
Arrives on time64%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip7h 51mATL 07:25 to ASE 13:16, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.