tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → Knoxville via Chicago: arrives on time 48%

  1. 07:25 ATL → 08:45 ORD
    AA 616 · American · 2h 20m · 75% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:50 ORD → 12:43 TYS
    AA 6456 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 53m · 64% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 18m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection76%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 24% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time48%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (76%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip5h 18mATL 07:25 to TYS 12:43, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.