tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Austin → Raleigh/Durham via Miami: arrives on time 23%

  1. 12:05 AUS → 16:00 MIA
    AA 620 · American · 2h 55m · 67% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Miami (MIA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:47 MIA → 19:06 RDU
    AA 2375 · American · 2h 19m · 46% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 01m, scheduled departure to arrival (Raleigh/Durham is 1 h ahead of Austin). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection50%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 50% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time23%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (50%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (46%).
Total trip6h 01mAUS 12:05 to RDU 19:06, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.