tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → San Diego via Philadelphia: arrives on time 49%

  1. 14:10 ATL → 16:25 PHL
    AA 621 · American · 2h 15m · 65% on time, 3.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 35m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:00 PHL → 20:50 SAN
    AA 1333 · American · 5h 50m · 70% on time, 4.3% cancelled

Total trip 9h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Diego is 3 h behind Atlanta). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection75%The first flight arrived more than 50 minutes late on 25% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 35m layover.
Arrives on time49%First flight not cancelled (3.0% are) × connection made (75%) × second flight not cancelled (4.3% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip9h 40mATL 14:10 to SAN 20:50, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.