tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → Harrisburg via Philadelphia: arrives on time 54%

  1. 14:10 ATL → 16:25 PHL
    AA 621 · American · 2h 15m · 65% on time, 3.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 25m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:50 PHL → 18:57 MDT
    AA 5949 · American, flown by Piedmont · 1h 07m · 79% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 4h 47m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 40 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 25m layover.
Arrives on time54%First flight not cancelled (3.0% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip4h 47mATL 14:10 to MDT 18:57, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.