tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Diego → Santa Rosa via Phoenix: arrives on time 40%

  1. 06:20 SAN → 07:54 PHX
    AA 625 · American · 1h 34m · 89% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 2h 19m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:13 PHX → 12:39 STS
    AA 6361 · American, flown by SkyWest · 2h 26m · 40% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 19m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 94 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 19m layover.
Arrives on time40%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (40%).
Total trip6h 19mSAN 06:20 to STS 12:39, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.