tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Ana → Washington via Phoenix: arrives on time 62%

  1. 06:46 SNA → 08:19 PHX
    AA 628 · American · 1h 30m · 88% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 4h 20m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:39 PHX → 19:54 DCA
    AA 1787 · American · 4h 15m · 65% on time, 3.7% cancelled

Total trip 10h 08m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 3 h ahead of Santa Ana). Times are local. Both flew on 0 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 215 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 4h 20m layover.
Arrives on time62%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (3.7% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip10h 08mSNA 06:46 to DCA 19:54, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.