tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Ana → Detroit via Phoenix: arrives on time 82%

  1. 06:46 SNA → 08:19 PHX
    AA 628 · American · 1h 30m · 88% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 37m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:56 PHX → 16:56 DTW
    AA 1790 · American · 3h 59m · 87% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 09m, scheduled departure to arrival (Detroit is 3 h ahead of Santa Ana). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 52 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 37m layover.
Arrives on time82%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip7h 09mSNA 06:46 to DTW 16:56, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.