tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Orlando via Miami: arrives on time 36%

  1. 12:56 SEA → 21:55 MIA
    AA 654 · American · 5h 59m · 80% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 54m layover in Miami (MIA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:49 MIA → 23:59 MCO
    AA 1813 · American · 1h 10m · 50% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 03m, scheduled departure to arrival (Orlando is 3 h ahead of Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 54m layover.
Arrives on time36%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (50%).
Total trip8h 03mSEA 12:56 to MCO 23:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.