tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Charlotte Amalie via Miami: arrives on time 81%

  1. 05:55 JFK → 09:12 MIA
    AA 655 · American · 3h 17m · 95% on time, 1.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 56m layover in Miami (MIA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:08 MIA → 16:00 STT
    AA 2738 · American · 2h 52m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 10h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 191 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 56m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (1.5% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip10h 05mJFK 05:55 to STT 16:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.