tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kailua/Kona → Los Angeles via Phoenix: arrives on time 86%

  1. 21:45 KOA → 06:35 PHX
    AA 664 · American · 5h 50m · 95% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 25m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:00 PHX → 09:34 LAX +1 day
    AA 1892 · American · 1h 34m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 49m, scheduled departure to arrival (Los Angeles is 3 h ahead of Kailua/Kona). Times are local. Both flew on 36 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 40 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 25m layover.
Arrives on time86%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip8h 49mKOA 21:45 to LAX 09:34, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.