tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kailua/Kona → Las Vegas via Phoenix: arrives on time 87%

  1. 21:45 KOA → 06:35 PHX
    AA 664 · American · 5h 50m · 95% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 07:45 PHX → 08:57 LAS +1 day
    AA 2004 · American · 1h 12m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 12m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 3 h ahead of Kailua/Kona). Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time87%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip8h 12mKOA 21:45 to LAS 08:57, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.