tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Kailua/Kona via Honolulu: arrives on time 82%

  1. 10:48 PHX → 14:27 HNL
    AA 675 · American · 6h 39m · 77% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 48m layover in Honolulu (HNL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 17:15 HNL → 18:05 KOA
    WN 1911 · Southwest · 50m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 10h 17m, scheduled departure to arrival (Kailua/Kona is 3 h behind Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 78 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 48m layover.
Arrives on time82%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip10h 17mPHX 10:48 to KOA 18:05, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.