tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Lihue → Seattle via Phoenix: arrives on time 88%

  1. 21:15 LIH → 06:20 PHX
    AA 684 · American · 6h 05m · 93% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 3h 00m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 09:20 PHX → 12:35 SEA +1 day
    DL 2374 · Delta · 3h 15m · 91% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 12h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Seattle is 3 h ahead of Lihue). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 90 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 00m layover.
Arrives on time88%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (91%).
Total trip12h 20mLIH 21:15 to SEA 12:35, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.