tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Lihue → Sacramento via Phoenix: arrives on time 86%

  1. 21:15 LIH → 06:20 PHX
    AA 684 · American · 6h 05m · 93% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 3h 15m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 09:35 PHX → 11:30 SMF +1 day
    WN 781 · Southwest · 1h 55m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 11h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sacramento is 3 h ahead of Lihue). Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 105 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 15m layover.
Arrives on time86%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip11h 15mLIH 21:15 to SMF 11:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.