tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Honolulu → Seattle via Phoenix: arrives on time 80%

  1. 21:00 HNL → 06:00 PHX
    AA 692 · American · 6h 00m · 90% on time, 0.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 20m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 07:20 PHX → 10:36 SEA +1 day
    AA 3793 · American, flown by Envoy · 3h 16m · 86% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 10h 36m, scheduled departure to arrival (Seattle is 3 h ahead of Honolulu). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 35 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 20m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (0.7% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip10h 36mHNL 21:00 to SEA 10:36, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.