tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Honolulu → Oakland via Phoenix: arrives on time 89%

  1. 21:00 HNL → 06:00 PHX
    AA 692 · American · 6h 00m · 90% on time, 0.7% cancelled
  2. 3h 40m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 09:40 PHX → 11:35 OAK +1 day
    WN 2680 · Southwest · 1h 55m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 11h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (Oakland is 3 h ahead of Honolulu). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 130 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 40m layover.
Arrives on time89%First flight not cancelled (0.7% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip11h 35mHNL 21:00 to OAK 11:35, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.