tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fort Lauderdale → Seattle via Philadelphia: arrives on time 21%

  1. 14:39 FLL → 17:35 PHL
    AA 695 · American · 2h 56m · 57% on time, 6.7% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:21 PHL → 21:35 SEA
    AA 2522 · American · 6h 14m · 54% on time, 4.5% cancelled

Total trip 9h 56m, scheduled departure to arrival (Seattle is 3 h behind Fort Lauderdale). Times are local. Both flew on 29 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection44%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 56% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time21%First flight not cancelled (6.7% are) × connection made (44%) × second flight not cancelled (4.5% are) and within 15 minutes (54%).
Total trip9h 56mFLL 14:39 to SEA 21:35, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.