tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → New Orleans via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 32%

  1. 10:22 SEA → 16:30 DFW
    AA 707 · American · 4h 08m · 79% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 56m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:26 DFW → 19:03 MSY
    AA 2158 · American · 1h 33m · 42% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 37m, scheduled departure to arrival (New Orleans is 2 h ahead of Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection77%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 23% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time32%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (77%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (42%).
Total trip6h 37mSEA 10:22 to MSY 19:03, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.