tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Tampa via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 49%

  1. 10:22 SEA → 16:30 DFW
    AA 707 · American · 4h 08m · 79% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 2h 00m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:30 DFW → 22:00 TPA
    AA 2401 · American · 2h 38m · 56% on time, 3.8% cancelled

Total trip 8h 46m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tampa is 3 h ahead of Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 39 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 75 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 00m layover.
Arrives on time49%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (3.8% are) and within 15 minutes (56%).
Total trip8h 46mSEA 10:22 to TPA 22:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.