tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → St Louis via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 47%

  1. 10:22 SEA → 16:30 DFW
    AA 707 · American · 4h 08m · 79% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 31m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:01 DFW → 19:52 STL
    AA 2761 · American · 1h 51m · 56% on time, 6.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (St Louis is 2 h ahead of Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 46 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 31m layover.
Arrives on time47%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (6.0% are) and within 15 minutes (56%).
Total trip7h 30mSEA 10:22 to STL 19:52, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.