tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Raleigh/Durham via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 50%

  1. 10:22 SEA → 16:30 DFW
    AA 707 · American · 4h 08m · 79% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 13m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:43 DFW → 21:30 RDU
    AA 979 · American · 2h 51m · 62% on time, 2.1% cancelled

Total trip 8h 12m, scheduled departure to arrival (Raleigh/Durham is 3 h ahead of Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection84%The first flight arrived more than 28 minutes late on 16% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 13m layover.
Arrives on time50%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (84%) × second flight not cancelled (2.1% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip8h 12mSEA 10:22 to RDU 21:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.