tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Jacksonville → Detroit via Philadelphia: arrives on time 84%

  1. 07:00 JAX → 09:14 PHL
    AA 709 · American · 2h 14m · 91% on time, 1.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 22m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 12:36 PHL → 14:20 DTW
    DL 2331 · Delta · 1h 46m · 92% on time, 4.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 22m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 112 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 22m layover.
Arrives on time84%First flight not cancelled (1.5% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (4.0% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip7h 22mJAX 07:00 to DTW 14:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.