tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Jacksonville → Minneapolis via Philadelphia: arrives on time 80%

  1. 07:00 JAX → 09:14 PHL
    AA 709 · American · 2h 14m · 91% on time, 1.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 26m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:40 PHL → 12:38 MSP
    AA 5658 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 58m · 88% on time, 2.6% cancelled

Total trip 6h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind Jacksonville). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 41 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 26m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (1.5% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (2.6% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip6h 38mJAX 07:00 to MSP 12:38, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.