tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Reno via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 48%

  1. 15:21 SEA → 21:24 DFW
    AA 757 · American · 4h 03m · 74% on time, 3.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 08m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:32 DFW → 23:58 RNO
    AA 1273 · American · 3h 26m · 65% on time, 3.5% cancelled

Total trip 8h 37m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection78%The first flight arrived more than 23 minutes late on 22% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 08m layover.
Arrives on time48%First flight not cancelled (3.4% are) × connection made (78%) × second flight not cancelled (3.5% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip8h 37mSEA 15:21 to RNO 23:58, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.