tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → St Louis via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 29%

  1. 15:21 SEA → 21:24 DFW
    AA 757 · American · 4h 03m · 74% on time, 3.4% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:10 DFW → 23:58 STL
    AA 3049 · American · 1h 49m · 52% on time, 4.3% cancelled

Total trip 6h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival (St Louis is 2 h ahead of Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 53 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection61%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 39% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time29%First flight not cancelled (3.4% are) × connection made (61%) × second flight not cancelled (4.3% are) and within 15 minutes (52%).
Total trip6h 38mSEA 15:21 to STL 23:58, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.