tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Tulsa via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 46%

  1. 15:21 SEA → 21:24 DFW
    AA 757 · American · 4h 03m · 74% on time, 3.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 14m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:38 DFW → 23:47 TUL
    AA 531 · American · 1h 09m · 62% on time, 4.2% cancelled

Total trip 6h 26m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tulsa is 2 h ahead of Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection80%The first flight arrived more than 29 minutes late on 20% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 14m layover.
Arrives on time46%First flight not cancelled (3.4% are) × connection made (80%) × second flight not cancelled (4.2% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip6h 26mSEA 15:21 to TUL 23:47, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.