tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Wichita via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 36%

  1. 15:21 SEA → 21:24 DFW
    AA 757 · American · 4h 03m · 74% on time, 3.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 07m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:31 DFW → 23:59 ICT
    AA 5398 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 28m · 53% on time, 10.7% cancelled

Total trip 6h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival (Wichita is 2 h ahead of Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection78%The first flight arrived more than 22 minutes late on 22% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 07m layover.
Arrives on time36%First flight not cancelled (3.4% are) × connection made (78%) × second flight not cancelled (10.7% are) and within 15 minutes (53%).
Total trip6h 38mSEA 15:21 to ICT 23:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.