tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Sacramento via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 70%

  1. 05:00 ORD → 07:30 DFW
    AA 760 · American · 2h 30m · 89% on time, 2.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:30 DFW → 10:08 SMF
    AA 2633 · American · 3h 38m · 82% on time, 1.7% cancelled

Total trip 7h 08m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sacramento is 2 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection89%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 11% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (2.7% are) × connection made (89%) × second flight not cancelled (1.7% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip7h 08mORD 05:00 to SMF 10:08, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.